原文链接：https://medium.com/@giorgioprovinciali/russian-offensive-keeps-crashing-into-the-ukrainian-fortress-belt-of-donbas-bleeding-out-one-5719f3ed6fe6?sk=9913c062475ffc38c24cc5dd06dbeebd

Russian Offensive Keeps Crashing Into the Ukrainian Fortress Belt of Donbas, Bleeding Out One Soldier Every Three Meters

By:Giorgio Provinciali

Despite these areas of Donbas being extremely fortified, the Russian regime continues tothrowsuch a quantity of cannon fodder there that, for at least four months now, it has been unable to recruit enough to replace the losses. In addition to the fortifications visible above ground in the various videos we have made available on this newspapers YouTube channel, there are others underground, connected by dozens of kilometers of tunnels linking the Ukrainian settlements within the so-called fortress belt.

To reach the gates of this defensive belt, MelnykestimatedthatMoscow has already left an average of 254 soldiers on the battlefield for every occupied square kilometer: one for every less than four linear meters, taking into account the depth of the various sectors of the front. This figure could rise to 316 per square kilometer in 2026 that is,one for every three linear meters as Ukrainian drones gain dominance on the battlefield.

Such losses are unparalleled in any war of this magnitude, given the insignificant territorial gains.

For comparison, Melnyk himselfnotedthat between 1939 and 1940, during the invasion of Finland, the Soviet Union paid a price approximately one hundred times lower.

The Russian Federation continues toinsistthat Ukrainian troops withdraw from the Donetsk region as a prerequisite for any serious negotiations, and its easy to understand why:the Russians arent advancing here.
For example, Toretsk is about 11 kilometers from where they were 12 years ago. Pokrovsk is about 50 kilometers away.
The images weve made available in recent weeks overturn a superficial reading of the front: they depict not just a fortified line buta layered defense system, both visible and invisible, forcing the Russians to expend manpower to achieve minimal, often irreducible, tactical gains.
Despite having reacheda breaking point in the sustainable human load, the Russian command continues to throw cannon fodder at a Ukrainian defensive belt that is made not only of trenches, dragons teeth, and strongpoints but also ofunderground depth, connections, protected mobility, and redundancy.

This makes it clear that these are not simple strongholds buta system that has evolved over 12 years, absorbing impact, dispersing fire, protecting logistics, and making it harder to convert an assault into a breakthrough.

Crashing against this extraordinary defensive belt, Russian offensive pressure, while remaining brutal, is beginning to lose its sustainability.
By spending bodies, the Kremlin can still buy microscopic local advances, but it is increasingly unable to do so without eroding its available human base. Even so, as Melnykpointed out,for Putin, a Russians life is worth less than a penny.
By continuing to attempt breakthroughs like the one a month ago thatburned405 soldiers, 11 armored infantry and troop carriers, and 84 motor vehicles,the occupiers are not making any territorial gains.

Yet they continue to attack, despite no longer being able to absorb the human cost of those attacks.

Since December, Moscow has beenlosingfar more men than it can recruit: over 35,000 a month well over a thousand a day, according to the Ukrainian General Staff compared with fewer than 30,000 new recruits.
When we decided to release images of the Ukrainian defense lines in Donbas, a well-known Ukrainian political scientist contacted us, saying:You did well. This way, the West will understand what were fighting for, what shatters Russian dreams of glory, and what theyre asking us to give up.

Theres also a further, very important implication, one that goes far beyond whats already visible even to Russian spy balloons and reconnaissance drones:the presence of dozens of kilometers of tunnels within the fortress belt. This is a detail we certainly wont be revealing, but it shows thatcontrol of the terrain in those areas cannot be viewed solely in the horizontal plane.

While above ground one can see rubble, earthworks, emplacements, and lines of defense, below lies the true continuity of the defense.

This means that even when the Russians strike or destroy a surface point, they dont necessarily disrupt a system that can continue moving men, materiel, and communications to relative safety. Its a huge difference,transforming every village and settlement into a hub rather than an isolated position.

But theres more.

The Donbas defensive belt today isnt just holding thanks to concrete, trenches, and tunnels: it holds becausea technological layer of electronic warfare, persistent reconnaissance, target acquisition, and drones operates above and around it, where Ukraine maintains a qualitative and integrated advantage over Russia.

Wevedescribedhowthe concept of a front has been surpassed and how areas of friction are no longer linear:

The fortress belt which is not a Ukrainian Maginot Line has adapted to the transition from linear to volumetric defense.

This means that the occupiers must not only assault fortified positions: they must do so while being more exposed to detection, fire correction, logistical interdiction, and communications degradation.

As a result, the human cost for them continues to grow.
Therefore,every Russian advance, when it occurs, increasingly appears to be the product of monstrous human attrition rather than a true operational breakthrough.
At the current rate,occupying all of Ukraine would require the total exsanguination of the Russian Federation: 122 million soldiers in a war expected to last 183 years.
This is whyUkrainerejectsany kind of ultimatum.
As Melnykremindedthe UN:We will never abandon a single square millimeter of our territory or any of our citizens.

In 1.517 days of war,we recorded over 250 videos from ground zero and wrote more than 1,500 articles.

We are doing our best to provide genuine, first-hand reports from zones where almost no press dares to go. This means living in a kill zone constantly. We take the risk, but without your invaluable support, our voices would remain unheard and silent. Without brave people sharing our articles from afar, they would remain unread. Our reports would go unseen, and our efforts would be lost. Theres still a lot of work to do here, as the people around us are also in no better situation.

Were renewing ourfundraising campaignand thanking everyone who joins us in helping to restore what Russia is destroying. Moving forward with only a small reimbursement for each article from a brave newspaper that believes in us is extremely challenging. Thats why we are grateful to all the kind people who support us and trust in our mission.

Even a small donation helps.

Well keep you updated on developments.

Thank you all, dear friends ????????

俄罗斯攻势不断撞击顿巴斯乌克兰防御带，每推进三米就牺牲一名士兵

作者：Giorgio Provinciali

翻译：旺财球球

乌克兰前线报道????????

顿涅茨克州奥列山德里夫卡据乌克兰常驻联合国大使安德里伊梅尔尼克称，要占领我们目前所在的整个地区，俄方政权必须投入比过去四年已经损失人员更多的兵力，使累计死亡与重伤人数超过三百万。乌克兰国防部与英国情报部门最新评估证实了这一点。

（图：我在乌克兰顿涅茨克马伊奇卡桥上，此桥是连接克拉马托尔斯克与斯洛维扬斯克的两条补给路线的战略交汇点????????版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）

尽管顿巴斯这些地区防御极为坚固，俄方仍在此投入大量炮灰，以至于至少过去四个月来无法招募足够兵力替补战场损失。除我们在本报YouTube频道提供的影像中可见的地面防御工事外，还有地下防御工程，数十公里的隧道将所谓要塞带内的乌克兰定居点连成一体。

（视频：我与Alla在通往克拉马托尔斯克公路旁的小村庄米哈伊利夫卡村现场报道，顿涅茨克，乌克兰????????版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）

梅尔尼克估算，为到达这道防御带的门口，莫斯科每占领一平方公里就有254名士兵倒在战场上：换算为线性距离，即不足四米牺牲一人；随着乌克兰无人机在战场上取得主导地位，这一数字到2026年可能上升到每平方公里316名，也就是每三米便付出一名士兵生命。

鉴于极其有限的领土收益，这样的伤亡在同等规模的战争中前所未有。

作为比较，梅尔尼克指出，19391940年苏联入侵芬兰时所付出的代价大约要低一百倍左右。

（视频：我在乌克兰顿涅茨克科罗舍拍摄的影像版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）

俄联邦继续坚持要求乌克兰部队撤出顿涅茨克地区，作为任何严肃谈判的前提条件，其原因不言思明：俄罗斯人在这里无法推进。

例如，托列茨克距俄军12年前所在位置约11公里；波克罗夫斯克则相距约50公里。

我们近几周公布的影像推翻了对前线的肤浅解读：画面展现的并非是单一的工事线，而是一个有形与无形并存的分层防御体系，迫使俄方消耗大量人力才能换取极有限、常常无法保持的战术收益。

尽管已达到可持续人力负荷的临界点，俄方指挥仍不断向乌克兰这道防御带投送炮灰；防御带不仅由战壕、反坦克龙牙与据点构成，而且具备地下纵深结构、连通隧道、受保护的机动线路与冗余能力。

由此表明，这些并非孤立据点，而是经过12年进化的防御体系，能吸收冲击、分散火力、保护后勤，使进攻难以转化为突破。

（视频：我在乌克兰顿涅茨克州腹地录制的影像版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）

撞击这道非凡的防御带，俄方攻势虽仍残酷，但其可持续性已开始丧失。

凭借人肉消耗，克里姆林宫仍能换取微不足道的局部推进，但其人力基础正被如此系统性侵蚀、难以为续。即便如此，正如梅尔尼克所指出的，对普京而言，俄罗斯人的生命连一分钱都不值。

持续发动如一个月前那次突击行动其消耗了405名士兵、11辆装甲车/运兵车，和84辆机动车，侵略者并未取得任何领土收益。

然而，俄军却仍继续发动攻击，尽管已无法承受这些攻击带来的人力消耗。

（图：我在奥列山德里夫卡一处被俄联邦摧毁的农场进行报道，顿涅茨克，乌克兰????????版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）

自去年12月以来，莫斯科的伤亡远超其可征召士兵数：据乌克兰总参谋部统计，每月损失超过35,000人，即日均千余人，而新入伍人数不到30,000人。

当我们决定公开顿巴斯乌克兰防线的影像时，一位知名乌克兰政治学者联系了我们并表示：你们做得好。这样，西方会明白我们为何而战，明白是什么击碎了俄罗斯的荣耀幻想，以及他们要我们放弃的是什么。

（图：我在乌克兰顿涅茨克一处地下通道入口处报道????????版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）

还有一个更重要的含义，远超俄方间谍气球和侦察无人机能看到的表象：防御带内存在数十公里隧道网络。此细节我们当然不会披露，但它表明对该地区的控制不能仅在水平面上考量。

地面上可见瓦砾、土方、防御设施与防线，地下则是真正的防御连续体。

这意味着即便俄军摧毁或打击了某一表面点，也不一定能瓦解一个仍能持续转移兵员、物资与通信的体系。这是巨大差异，让每个村庄与定居点成为运作枢纽而非孤立据点。

这还不是全部。

如今，顿巴斯防御带之所以屹立，不仅靠混凝土、战壕与隧道，还依赖于一个在其上方和周边运行的技术层：电子战、持续侦察、目标获取与无人机组，乌克兰在此层面相较俄罗斯保持着质量上的和整合性的优势。

（图：我在乌克兰顿涅茨克近防线处????????版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）

我们已描述过传统前线概念如何被超越，摩擦区不再呈线性：

这道防御带并非乌克兰的马其诺防线已成功适应了由线性向体积化防御的转变。

这意味着侵略者不仅要攻击被加固的阵地：在进攻过程中，他们更易被发现、遭火力校正、后勤拦截与通信破坏。

因此，其人命代价持续攀升。

由此，每一次俄方推进，若发生，愈发显得是通过恐怖的人力消耗换来的，而非真正的作战突破。

以当前速度，若要占领整个乌克兰，将意味着俄罗斯联邦的完全耗尽：12.2亿名士兵的损耗，战争预计持续183年。

这也是乌克兰拒绝任何形式最后通牒的原因。

正如梅尔尼克在联合国所重申的：我们绝不会放弃一平方毫米的领土或我们的任何一位公民。

（图：我在乌克兰顿涅茨克靠近克拉马托尔斯克的一个小型检查站进行报道????????版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）

***

在1516天的战争中，我们从前线录制了250多段视频，并撰写了1500多篇文章。

我们尽最大努力从几乎没有媒体敢进入的地带进行真实的一手报道，这意味着我们长期生活在杀伤区。我们承担风险，但若没有你们宝贵的支持，我们的声音将无从传出。若没有远方的勇敢的人们转发分享我们的文章，它们将无人问津。我们的报道会被忽视，我们的努力将付诸流水。这里还有大量工作要做，周围的人们境况同样艰难。

我们正在更新筹款活动，感谢每一位加入我们、帮助修复俄罗斯破坏的人们。仅靠一家勇敢的报纸为我们每篇文章支付微薄稿酬以维持前线报道极为困难。因此，我们感激所有支持并信任我们使命的善良人们。

哪怕是小小的捐助也有助益。

我们会持续为你们更新事态进展。

谢谢大家，亲爱的朋友们????????

如果你认可我们的工作，请支持我们????????

在过去三年里，自乌克兰大规模战争爆发以来，作为自由撰稿人，我们一直在乌克兰战争的所有前线进行报道

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