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生活在中国 常让我感觉生活在未来世界

(2026-05-03 01:21:01) 下一个

生活在中国,“常让我感觉生活在未来世界”

去年,我和同事们发表了一系列文章,记录了中国清洁能源的惊人崛起,以及美国在采用太阳能、电动汽车等低碳技术方面如何逐渐落后。值得注意的是,这些产品往往比化石燃料技术更便宜,也更便捷。
 
我们探访了规模惊人的中国太阳能发电场,其中一处占地约4.2万公顷;还报道了中国修建成千上万公里特高压输电线路的工程。
 
我们分析了中国如何以廉价价格向全球出口太阳能板和电动车,重塑从南非巴西等国的经济格局。我们还关注了中国在聚变能自动驾驶汽车以及稀土等新兴领域的迅速进展。
随着时间推移,头条新闻都在印证这组报道的核心观点。
 
与此同时,中国在全球的布局并未放缓。上个月,加拿大同意降低对部分中国汽车的关税,为比亚迪等车企的热门电动汽车敞开大门。本周,中国官方媒体还报道称,研究人员已研发出一种在极寒条件下仍能保持电量的锂电池
 
根据Carbon Brief的一项分析,去年中国经济增量中,超过三分之一来自太阳能、电动车等清洁能源技术,相关经济活动规模约达2.1万亿美元。
为了更直观地了解中国的发展速度,我致电驻北京同事柏凯斯(Keith Bradsher)。
“中国遥遥领先于世界其他地区,”他告诉我。“不仅在于大规模部署可再生能源与新型交通技术方面,而且接连取得科研突破。”
美国在倒退
北京与华盛顿之间形成了鲜明对比。
中国政府数十年来始终耐心地扶持清洁技术——其对稀土产业的政策布局可追溯至约60年前,而从电动车到超音速飞机,稀土皆是关键命脉。反观美国政策,则如一盘散沙。
拜登政府执政四年间着力培育风电、太阳能、电池及电动汽车产业,而特朗普政府如今却正在做着截然相反的事情。
就在中国加速向清洁能源转型之际,特朗普政府却不断寻找新的方式来打压可再生能源,并推广煤炭、石油和天然气等化石燃料。
就在昨天,白宫下令五角大楼购买更多由煤炭发电量——而煤炭是最脏的化石燃料。(中国仍然是全球最大的煤炭使用国,但正努力减少煤炭使用量。总体而言,中国的二氧化碳排放量已连续21个月持平或下降。)
上月,能源部叫停了300亿美元的清洁能源项目贷款。正如布拉德·普卢默与丽贝卡·埃利奥特本月的报道,白宫及其盟友正拖延联邦土地及私人土地上风电、太阳能项目的审批,一家可再生能源组织称此举形同“封锁”,导致全国数百个项目停滞不前。
“美国确实正在背离许多21世纪的能源和交通技术,”柏凯斯对我说。
加之特朗普政府对海上风电产业的打压、全方位削弱环境法规、加大对化石燃料的支持、削减科研投入——一幅画面逐渐浮现:全球两大经济体在未来能源发展方向这一核心议题上正分道扬镳。
此外,柏凯斯告诉我,随着中国政策推动形成一轮又一轮创新循环,差距正逐月扩大。
“中国正投入庞大的科研力量,研发稀土新的应用;而美国几乎已放弃基础化学研究,”柏凯斯说。
塑造世界格局
当美国加码发展国内化石燃料之际,中国正持续扩大其全球影响力。
去年中国电动汽车出口创下700亿美元纪录,车企的销售版图拓展至逾150个国家和地区。2025年上半年,尽管成品太阳能电池板因供过于求出口停滞,但中国太阳能电池出口量仍大幅增长。“我们正从石油驱动的世界转向成本更低的太阳能世界,”柏凯斯表示。“实际上,其他国家正越来越多地从中国购买电力,因为中国在太阳能电池板领域近乎垄断。现在,在大部分发展中国家,人们都想买太阳能电池板,因为这是比其他任何东西都便宜的发电方式。”
我问报道了中国24年的柏凯斯,生活在一个这些技术已经司空见惯的国度是什么感觉。
“中国的高速铁路、超现代化的地铁和越来越多的自动驾驶电动车,常让我感觉生活在未来世界,”他说。
 
Why Living in China Is Like ‘Living in the Future’
 
 
A Times correspondent talks about life in China as it outpaces the United States in developing clean energy technology, self-driving cars and other innovations.

 

A person stands in the tunnel of a giant mettalic wind turbineWind turbine towers under construction in a factory in Jiangsu Province, China.Credit...-/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

David Gelles By David Gelles  
 
Before we get to discussing China, let’s get caught up:
 

In a series of articles published last year, my colleagues and I charted the remarkable rise of clean energy in China, and the degree to which the United States is falling behind in the race to adopt low-carbon technologies like solar power and electric vehicles. Importantly, these products are often less expensive and provide greater convenience than fossil fuel technologies.

We explored the extraordinary scale of Chinese solar farms, including one that covers some 162 square miles, and its construction of thousands of miles of ultrahigh-voltage transmission lines.

We examined how China was exporting cheap solar panels and electric vehicles around the globe, reshaping economies from South Africa to Brazil. And we looked at China’s rapid advances in emerging fields including fusionself-driving cars and rare earths.

With each passing week, the headlines reinforce the central idea of this series.

At the same time, China has not slowed its global efforts. Canada last month agreed to lower tariffs on some Chinese vehicles, opening the door to popular electric cars from automakers like BYD. Chinese state media this week reported that researchers had developed a lithium battery that can retain its electrical charge in extreme cold.

Clean energy technologies, including solar and electric vehicles, were responsible for more than a third of China’s economic growth last year, generating some $2.1 trillion in economic activity, according to an analysis by Carbon Brief.

To get a sense of how fast things are moving, I called my colleague Keith Bradsher, who is based in Beijing.

“China is way ahead of the rest of the world,” he told me. “Not just in installing a lot of renewable energy and new transportation technologies, but also in scoring research breakthroughs.”

The contrast between Beijing and Washington is stark.

The Chinese government has been a patient supporter of the country’s clean technologies for decades now — its policies governing rare earths, which are essential components in everything from electric cars to supersonic jets, date back some six decades. U.S. policy, by contrast, has been all over the place.

After four years during which the Biden administration worked to nurture the wind, solar, battery and electric vehicle industries, the Trump administration is now doing precisely the opposite.

And just as China is accelerating its shift to clean energy, the Trump administration continues to find new ways to penalize renewables and promote fossil fuels like coal, oil and gas.

Just yesterday, the White House ordered the Pentagon to buy more electricity generated from coal, the dirtiest fossil fuel. (China remains the world’s largest user of coal, but is working to decrease its usage. Overall, Chinese carbon dioxide emissions have been flat or falling for 21 months now.)

 

President Trump received an “Undisputed Champion of Coal” award at the White House on Wednesday during an executive order signing ceremony. Credit...Tierney L. Cross/The New York Times

Last month, the Energy department canceled $30 billion in loans for clean energy projects. And as Brad Plumer and Rebecca Elliott reported this month, the White House and its allies are delaying approvals for wind and solar projects on both federal land and private property, creating what one renewable energy group called a “blockade” that is stalling hundreds of developments nationwide.

“The U.S. is really turning its back on a lot of 21st century energy and transportation technologies,” Bradsher told me.

Couple all that with the Trump administration’s attacks on the offshore wind industry, its sweeping efforts to roll back environmental regulations, its expanded support for fossil fuels, and its cuts to scientific research, and a picture emerges of the world’s two biggest economies diverging on the central issue of how to power the future.

What’s more, Bradsher told me, the playing field is expanding with each passing month, as China’s policies have begun leading to a cycle of ever more innovation.

“China has a vast research effort to develop new inventions from rare earths, even as the U.S. has almost abandoned basic chemistry.,” Bradsher said.

As the United States doubles down on domestic fossil fuels, China continues to extend its influence around the globe.

Last year, Chinese exports of electric vehicles hit a record $70 billion, and China’s carmakers saw sales in more than 150 countries and territories. And in the first half of 2025, Chinese exports of solar cells jumped sharply, even as exports of finished panels stagnated because of oversupply.

“We’re shifting away from an oil-powered world to a much less expensive solar-powered world,” Bradsher said. “And every other country is buying more and more of their electricity in effect from China, because China has a near-monopoly on solar panels. And that’s all that anybody wants to buy now in much of the developing world, because it’s a cheaper way to get your electricity than anything else.”

I asked Bradsher, who has covered China for 24 years, what it was like living in a country where these technologies were commonplace.

“China’s high-speed rail, and ultramodern subways and growing numbers of self-driving electric cars often make me feel like I’m living in the future,” he said.

Mindy King, whose apartment in Portland, Ore., overlooks an ICE office where federal agents sporadically release tear gas to disperse protesters.Credit...Kristina Barker for The New York Times

CLIMATE LAW

Federal agents have fired so much tear gas near Mindy King’s apartment in Portland, Ore., that she and her 13-year-old son bought gas masks to wear inside. Her neighbor, Diane Moreno, has gone to urgent care, twice, with tightness in her chest and bloody discharge from her nose.

The problem, they say, is an Immigration and Customs Enforcement office less than 100 feet away from their homes. For months, ICE agents have sporadically used tear gas against protesters outside the facility.

Now, she and other residents at their affordable housing complex are suing the Trump administration, making a novel legal accusation. The U.S. government is knowingly releasing poison gas into the homes of its own citizens, they allege in their lawsuit. The chemicals bind to walls, carpets, clothing, furniture and even children’s toys, they say, creating a toxic environment. — Hiroko Tabuchi

QUOTE OF THE DAY

“The 19th century called, and it wants its fuel source back. The Trump administration is using our tax dollars to prop up the nation’s dirtiest, least-efficient power plants.”

That’s from Manish Bapna, president of the Natural Resources Defense Council, who was responding to President Trump’s latest attempts to kick-start the declining United States coal industry. Brad Plumer reports that Trump on Wednesday directed the Pentagon to start buying more electricity from coal-burning power plants.

At the event, more than a dozen coal executives and miners in hard hats presented Trump with a trophy that said “Undisputed Champion of Beautiful Clean Coal.” The award came from the Washington Coal Club, an obscure group with financial ties to the coal mining industry.

Exactly six months ago, I wrote an edition of this newsletter about the state of Utah passing a law to allow residents to install plug-in solar systems on their balconies and rooftops without special permission.

These systems, which cost around $2,000 and plug straight into a wall socket, can produce enough power to offset the energy consumption of a few appliances. The law was inspired by balkonkraftwerke, or balcony power plants, which have taken off in Germany, where well over a million have been installed.

But thanks to a regulatory wrinkle, and a lack of third-party safety certification, balcony solar has not taken off in the U.S.

Things may be changing quickly. As of this week, lawmakers in 24 states have announced similar legislation, inspiring hope among solar enthusiasts that at least some of the bills will pass. Proponents hope the momentum sends a signal to plug-in solar companies that the U.S. is open for business. An influx of competition would theoretically cause prices to fall. In Germany, the systems start at around 300 euros, or about $355, and can be purchased online.

As Raymond Ward, a Republican state representative in Utah, told me, the simplicity of plug-in solar has helped lead to a groundswell of interest in the technology.

“People are like, ‘Oh, I can just buy that and plug it in?’” he said. “‘Oh yes, I want one of those.’ And then they’re turning to their representatives to say, ‘Why can’t I have it here? What needs to change?’”

  • The Washington Post reports that the last three years of accelerating global warming have perplexed climate scientists.

  • Heatmap News argues that Toyota’s newly announced Highlander electric vehicle, a three-row SUV, “signals a sea change for the world’s largest automaker.”


Read past editions of the newsletter here.

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